Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.005343 0.005917 0.006538 0.007264 0.008090 0.009006 0.010100
2025-07-13 0.004400 0.005182 0.006096 0.007253 0.008691 0.010435 0.012735
2025-07-20 0.003950 0.004846 0.005949 0.007424 0.009372 0.011897 0.015480
2025-07-27 0.003539 0.004478 0.005681 0.007361 0.009691 0.012876 0.017685
2025-08-03 0.003241 0.004212 0.005495 0.007357 0.010051 0.013917 0.020089
2025-08-10 0.002974 0.003951 0.005282 0.007273 0.010267 0.014748 0.022273
2025-08-17 0.002789 0.003783 0.005171 0.007315 0.010653 0.015862 0.025055
2025-08-24 0.002595 0.003581 0.004993 0.007229 0.010823 0.016640 0.027382
2025-08-31 0.002390 0.003348 0.004745 0.007009 0.010747 0.016994 0.029000
2025-09-07 0.002260 0.003215 0.004635 0.006991 0.010992 0.017911 0.031792
2025-09-14 0.002201 0.003182 0.004673 0.007210 0.011656 0.019639 0.036454
2025-09-21 0.002071 0.003032 0.004515 0.007089 0.011708 0.020249 0.038944
2025-09-28 0.001942 0.002878 0.004348 0.006949 0.011737 0.020868 0.041686
2025-10-05 0.001848 0.002776 0.004259 0.006942 0.012013 0.022020 0.045901
2025-10-12 0.001795 0.002735 0.004267 0.007103 0.012627 0.023942 0.052374
2025-10-19 0.001707 0.002631 0.004160 0.007043 0.012797 0.024951 0.056830
2025-10-26 0.001636 0.002551 0.004087 0.007040 0.013076 0.026239 0.062342
2025-11-02 0.001559 0.002455 0.003980 0.006961 0.013188 0.027162 0.067083
2025-11-09 0.001506 0.002398 0.003936 0.007000 0.013556 0.028739 0.074160
2025-11-16 0.001440 0.002312 0.003836 0.006918 0.013649 0.029663 0.079525
2025-11-23 0.001360 0.002199 0.003680 0.006710 0.013435 0.029786 0.082376
2025-11-30 0.001311 0.002140 0.003619 0.006693 0.013657 0.031069 0.089495
2025-12-07 0.001295 0.002137 0.003664 0.006901 0.014429 0.033951 0.103229